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Australian Stocks
Westpac Banking Corporation
WBC.AX
- Growth
rate in earnings expected to be 9-10% per annum
- The
risk associated with the loan portfolio is at the lowest
end of the scale for Australian banks.
- PE
ratio is 11.8 and dividend yield for 2006 is 5.8% it is
also noted that WBC’s payout ratio is 63%, which
allows further dividend increases.
- The
Australian property market appears to have had a “soft
landing “and looks to be on the improve.
- WBC
has placed a strong emphasis on increasing customer
satisfaction; this policy is assisting with maintaining
margins.
BHP Billiton Ltd
BHP.AX
- A core
portfolio stock giving investors exposure to a range of
commodities such as Petroleum, iron ore and coking coal,
energy coal Diamonds copper and aluminium.
- BHP
has completed a US $1.8 billion off market share buy
back and there is further potential for more capital
management initiatives.
- BHP is
the largest coking coal producer and the third largest
iron ore producer and is expected to be the largest
beneficiary of recent price increases in these
commodities. Coking coal has doubled to US$125 over the
past 4 years.
- 2006
pe ratio is 11.5 and div yield is 2%
QBE Insurance Group
QBE.AX
-
QBE will release its 2004 results on February 24th 2005
with expectations of a $700 million profit despite
several tragic events such as the tsunami and three
cyclones in the US.
- QBE is
one of the best-managed insurance groups in the global
general insurance and reinsurance industry with an
excellent track record of earnings.
- Global
premium rates continue to hold up which coupled with
changes in policy terms has resulted in improved
margins.
- QBE
has a strong level of provisioning
-
Fundamentals are undemanding with a 2006 pe ratio at
12.4 times and a div yield of 4.2%
Wesfarmers Limited
WES.AX
-
Management is proven over a long period for creation of
shareholder wealth with EPS and DPS track record
justifying a premium over the market.
- Strong cash
flows and a low debt level have allowed WES to make
capital returns to shareholders with the return of $1.00
per share due in March this year.
- WES via its
Curragh holding is a serious player in the export coking
coal market with significant benefits coming on stream
from 2006 onwards.
- looking for
a profit upgrade.
- PE ratio for
2006 is forecast at 19.8 with a yield of 4.7%
Brambles Industries Ltd
BIL.AX
-
Chep’s recovery remains intact with revenue growing at
6% in Europe and 9% in the US markets.
- BIL
management have indicated that Cleanaway will trade at
break even, but no immediate improvement is forecast.
- Recall is
forecast to show improved results as a result of
restructuring and cost controls, we see this division
improving 5%
- Industrial
Services will report a strong growth figure on the back
of strong growth in the steel industry
- 2006 pe
ratio is 18.5 and div yield is 2.8%
Amcor Limited
AMC.AX
-
The shock announcement of AMC’s MD Russell Jones
coupled with possible investigations over possible
cartel behaviour in its corrugated box business has had
a negative impact ob the AMC share price from $8.50 to
$7.00 this could be a buy opportunity.
- AMC is
expected to maintain its market share of approximately
40% with the other major players being Carter Holt and
Visy Board.
- The
Australasian operations have been the major source of
income and have driven the global acquisitions.
- Over
the next two years we expect the company to focus on
operational issues. We believe the stock can work its
way back to previous levels over the next 18 mths.
- 2006
pe ratio is 14.7 and yield is 4.7
Alinta
ALN.AX
-
Alinta is becoming a major player in the gas
distribution sector with interests in pipelines,
generators and pipelines across Australia.
- The West
Australian market is continuing to expand and Alinta is
well placed to capitalise on future demand with the
construction of its second plant in WA.
- The market
is expecting Alinta to create a trust structure in the
future, which will help to lower the company’s debt as
well as creating another earnings stream.
- 2006 forecast pe
ratio is 17.8 and yield is 7%
Toll Holdings
TOL.AX
-
Toll is currently trading on a 2006 forecast pe of 13.9
and 12.2 for 2007, with the 2007 pe 85% relative to the
all ords index.
- Toll
management has taken under performing assets, which have
been restructured to create enhanced profits in the
group structure.
-
Investors will be watching for the results of the Tranz
Rail restructuring in NZ.
- Other
gains are expected to come from industry consolidation
and slight increases in operating margins.
- Toll
is linked into the Australian economy, which is
continuing to show growth on the back of a strong
minerals sector, this also carries with it an element of
risk.
Burns Philp & Co
BPC.AX
-
The positive of the latest result has been the strong
growth for the Goodman Fielder business, which has been
due to BPC managements cost saving disciplines.
-
Investors will await the next corporate news from the
“house of Hart “to gauge further growth prospects.
- The
man is gaining credibility with Australian institutions
with each result.
Australian Stock Exchange
ASX, AX
-
The Australian Stock Exchange has a strong monopoly
position with minimal competitive threats and the
possibility of growth through the introduction of new
products and reduced costs.
- While
the revenue drivers are somewhat cyclical i.e. Bull /
Bear markets the ASX has the ability to increase prices
and reduce costs which will result in non-cyclical
earnings over the short to medium term.
- Having
said that any negative news for the Markets such as a
9/11 will obviously have a negative impact.
Woodside Petroleum
WPL.AX
- Current
fundamentals for the company are high but the
company’s new
developments will drive profit from 2007 onwards.
- Woodside can also
benefit from further growth in natural gas production
due to higher than forecast supply / demand
fundamentals.
- Development
projects Enfield, Chinguetti, Otway, and Enfield are on
schedule for start-up in 2006.
- Investors are
exposed to oil price and US$/A$ exchange rates both of
which have proven to be hard to forecast.
- pe ratio for 2006
is 15.1 and for 2007 is 13.6.
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