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Now here is a stock that the more speculative
investors might consider with the upcoming drilling
program covering the next six months.
Pan Pacific Petroleum has recently announced that the
Ocean Patriot drilling rig will begin drilling Tieke
prospect in December this year.
"Prior to drilling the wells to access these
reserves, the Tui Joint Venture operator has advised the
rig schedule may allow a window for the Tieke prospect,
which is about 7 kilometers from the proven fields, to
be drilled which will maximise the rig availability and
co-ordination with sub sea installations. Tieke has the
potential to deliver up to a further 15 million barrels
and a discovery could significantly enhance the Tui Area
project. A decision on whether Tieke can be drilled at
this time is expected to be made in mid to late November
2006."
PPP has a 10% interest in the Tui field which itself
is expected to be in production
by June 2007. "A combination of initial high flow
rates and potentially high oil prices promise the
generation of strong front end cash flow for PPP from
this fast-tracked development". To provide downside
protection against falling oil prices PPP has hedged 27%
of production reserves at a minimum of US$50 a barrel.
PPP's interest in the Tui field is worth about $70m (ref
AWE web site) The PPP market cap is currently about $70m
or 17 cents a share. One would expect PPP to trade at a
15% discount due to the uncertainties of bringing an oil
field into production.
This means that investors are currently paying about 3.5
cents for the option of having four oil wells being
drilled over the next six months.
A strike in either the Tieke-1 well or the Taranui-1
well will be able to be developed quickly due to their
close proximity to the Tui well. Any success with these
wells would encourage further drilling of Oi and Kahu
permit areas which are also within 10k of the Tui area.
In short any discovery in this area would see the PPP
share price show significant gains.
PPP also has a 4.15% interest in the Bricklanding
Prospect in the Carnarvon Basin (West Australia) which
will be drilled in late November.
Finally the Hector Prospects will be drilled
somewhere around June 2007. The Hector prospect is of
particular interest as PPP believe any discovery in this
area will open up a "new oil fairway with
substantial upside." PPP has a 14.1% interest in
the Hector Prospect which has potential recoverable oil
of 50 - 60 million barrels of oil.
PPP is at an exciting stage of its development with the
Tui Field coming on stream in June 2007 and some
drilling which could significantly increase the value of
this holding likely to commence in December.
The shares look to have considerable upside on any
success but limited downside due to the oil production
coming on stream.
PPP remains a SPECULATIVE BUY
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