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Wednesday, 26 September 2007  

 
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The New Zealand Market
CEN announce on 18th Feb and market forecasts are $180-$190 million .The media are speculating that Contact might return capital to investors. This will be interesting, as Contact directors will have to be careful to send the correct message to the market i.e. we are returning capital but we still have potential to grow the company. I’m picking Contact directors could be more conservative than the market believes.

SKY and INL announce on 21st February and are also expected to comment on the formation of “new SKY “. The Sky / INL merger picked to see a return of $500 - $700 to shareholders but the thing that the market may be missing is that post the merger the pe ratio for the New Sky will be 13- 14 depending on the return.

This compares very well with the company’s Australian peers, in short SKY and INL remain a strong hold. I’m picking the capital return will be at the higher end of expectations.
Another stock to watch is SKC, which continues to go through the “wash out cycle” where by all the weak holders that took part in the share placement at $5.20 continue to sell out after failing to lock in the premium. Any buying below $5.20 could be well rewarded after the company’s next interim profit announcement due 21st FEB.

New Zealand Oil and Gas holders should visit www.sharechat.co.nz under Features, Investor interviews. Hopefully our latest 42 Below upgrade report will be available early next week, our 12 month target for FTB is .96 cents.

 




 


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